TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No57c675.39$384 inWon+$291.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Yes40c362.3$145 inLost-$144.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Yes44c342.63$150 inLost-$15023539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No54c321.25$175 inWon+$146.7347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No60c300$180 inWon+$12014161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be4…d8edbacked Yes42c211.38$88 inLost-$883644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked No60c200$120 inWon+$803966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No60c199.98$120 inWon+$79.497673.7%56 W · 20 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No55c188$103 inWon+$84.671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No57c159.99$92 inWon+$68.4845657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes41c112.58$46 inLost-$46.2543543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked Yes42c104$44 inLost-$43.681631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8214…8b4cbacked Yes39c72.37$28 inLost-$28.560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost-$257057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes41c60.41$25 inLost-$2524428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f1…981abacked Yes44c54.4$24 inLost-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d7…da51backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Yes43c34.62$15 inLost-$1510940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes43c28$12 inLost-$11.99848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No61c21$13 inWon+$8.1932866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed No64c20$13 inWon+$7.22040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.