NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efe05dcb0c93ddd6a8deb9c4bd37889b9791c23f4349cc69e3a13c7e0f16ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Timberwolves | 43c | 22,391$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 46c | 5,776$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,327$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Grizzlies | 60c | 2,509$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.13 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,419$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.55 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 2,185$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,110$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,947$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…4d39backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,810$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,745$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.76 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…c696backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,685$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,660$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.93 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,651$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb739…ee68backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,524$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,516$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.22 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,406$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.53 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3dc7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,322$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…ca4bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,322$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…c308backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,235$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…d81abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,203$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba0…3927backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,052$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…4998backed Timberwolves | 47c | 987$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 45c | 936.36$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…a6e0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 936$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 44c | 855.48$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Grizzlies | 59c | 850.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Grizzlies | 59c | 842.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…e078backed Timberwolves | 47c | 808$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Grizzlies | 53c | 669.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 610.08$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Timberwolves | 47c | 587.57$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 55c | 586$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 56c | 537$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 501.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 304.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 292.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 285.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…7315backed Timberwolves | 47c | 268$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 248.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves | 44c | 242.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 204.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Grizzlies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 199.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 46c | 191.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Timberwolves | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 43c | 151.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 57c | 111.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Timberwolves | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies | 51c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Grizzlies | 57c | 87.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 53.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Grizzlies | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…af0bbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 45.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Timberwolves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…150dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Timberwolves | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 57c | 31.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Grizzlies | 59c | 27.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves | 44c | 27.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Grizzlies | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.