TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7df6…b212backed Timberwolves43c22,391$9,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,649.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies46c5,776$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves54c5,327$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Grizzlies60c2,509$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.136055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies55c2,419$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves44c2,185$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies56c2,110$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies57c1,947$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e92…4d39backed Grizzlies53c1,810$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies54c1,745$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Timberwolves41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6975347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe57…c696backed Grizzlies53c1,685$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Timberwolves46c1,660$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9322143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves45c1,651$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74323052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Timberwolves16c1,600$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb739…ee68backed Timberwolves47c1,524$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Grizzlies56c1,516$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.2222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Grizzlies55c1,406$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5326034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c59…3dc7backed Grizzlies53c1,322$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0242…ca4bbacked Timberwolves47c1,322$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209a…c308backed Timberwolves47c1,235$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb2…d81abacked Grizzlies53c1,211$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves46c1,203$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba0…3927backed Grizzlies53c1,052$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves44c1,032$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda08…4998backed Timberwolves47c987$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves45c936.36$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba8…a6e0backed Timberwolves47c936$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves44c855.48$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Grizzlies59c850.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8527158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Grizzlies59c842.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5926553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…e078backed Timberwolves47c808$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Timberwolves46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3683943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Grizzlies53c669.11$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4811753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves50c610.08$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Timberwolves47c587.57$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1616030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies55c586$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.71,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Grizzlies55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies56c537$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Grizzlies60c501.83$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves44c304.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Timberwolves51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves46c292.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves41c285.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.142,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa412…7315backed Timberwolves47c268$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8636450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Timberwolves46c248.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.27536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves44c242.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Timberwolves46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Timberwolves47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies56c204.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0551651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Grizzlies47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10626339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves46c199.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves46c191.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.961,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Timberwolves45c168$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.65253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves43c151.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies57c111.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde0…c132backed Timberwolves48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies51c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.391,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Grizzlies57c87.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.027458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Timberwolves47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.67346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Timberwolves45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Timberwolves54c53.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7710857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Grizzlies60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x176e…af0bbacked Timberwolves44c45.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Timberwolves45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Timberwolves46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeceb…150dbacked Timberwolves46c42.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Timberwolves47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Timberwolves47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.276053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Grizzlies55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Grizzlies55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Timberwolves41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Grizzlies55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Grizzlies55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies57c31.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.371,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Grizzlies55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Grizzlies59c27.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves44c27.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Grizzlies59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2535049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Grizzlies55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Grizzlies55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Grizzlies55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.973,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.