TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under54c112,015$60,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,367.9440446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over46c82,052$37,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,308.251,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c5,832$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over54c5,028$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.7965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under48c4,875$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1602853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c3,951$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.372,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over47c3,845$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c3,561$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.5338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c3,435$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c2,340$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over54c2,315$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.8116442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over51c1,761$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.025865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over54c1,625$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.0750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67527051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,485$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c1,217$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over55c1,109$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.0552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over47c1,068$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.0410048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c1,059$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over54c970$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Under13c940$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.221139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c918.88$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under51c700$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35948957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over62c607.67$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under53c566.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c562.91$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over47c553.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.193548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27019647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over54c458.54$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9365649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under14c436.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.094425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15318650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over55c273.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0311343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c272.89$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c239.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.151,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10720149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over52c195.63$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.924549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under52c183$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.991,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c181.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c136.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c134.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1717046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1721948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6721…d75bbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Over51c97.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5917545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fd…f553backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over48c82.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under19c81.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over54c78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8817243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e37…0036backed Under48c62.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Over46c59.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.012458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7449358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c36.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Over48c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7610657.5%61 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over46c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c30.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.133,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3147…87e5backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under54c27.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9516343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.857545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Under52c24.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7415947.8%76 W · 83 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over48c22.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.925143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe3…0fddbacked Over53c19.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.