TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,897 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa90c…3b42backed No50c9,643$4,822 inLost-$4,821.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5eb…baa3backed Yes50c7,743$3,872 inWon+$3,871.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b5…0caebacked No50c4,203$2,102 inLost-$2,101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0a…a1ebbacked Yes50c3,363$1,682 inWon+$1,681.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc524…0145backed Yes50c2,740$1,370 inWon+$1,3704100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes47c101$47 inWon+$53.539050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes43c100$43 inWon+$5732455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No57c100$57 inLost-$575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Yes47c78$37 inWon+$41.343259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked No53c26$14 inLost-$13.783831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed No53c24$13 inLost-$12.723764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked No53c23$12 inLost-$12.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked No53c21$11 inLost-$11.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed No53c20$11 inLost-$10.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.