TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes46c1,127$517 inWon+$610.1443543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No54c844.34$453 inLost-$452.671,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed No52c508.92$265 inLost-$264.643138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No54c499.99$269 inLost-$269.491,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c310$152 inLost-$151.92,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Yes47c264.34$125 inWon+$139.677448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No56c239.41$134 inLost-$134.2345657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes44c200$88 inWon+$1129848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Yes44c196.79$87 inWon+$109.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No56c189.99$107 inLost-$106.997673.7%56 W · 20 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No56c188$105 inLost-$105.2871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked No55c150$83 inLost-$82.53966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea08…ba6cbacked Yes44c113.56$50 inWon+$63.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes45c63.55$29 inWon+$34.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Yes47c60$28 inWon+$31.84535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Yes42c51.21$21 inWon+$29.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes49c50$25 inWon+$25.532455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d7…da51backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.