TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,629 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies47c2,532$1,190 inWon+$1,341.9138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves53c2,423$1,283 inLost-$1,282.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies42c1,451$609 inWon+$841.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Timberwolves58c862.07$500 inLost-$50013155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Timberwolves6c603$38 inLost-$38.0832455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves58c416.77$241 inLost-$241.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies60c264.54$160 inWon+$104.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Timberwolves50c260$130 inLost-$13018240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies50c258.6$129 inWon+$129.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves58c186.21$108 inLost-$10862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Timberwolves58c171.66$100 inLost-$10014557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Timberwolves59c169.49$100 inLost-$1008263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Timberwolves53c166.04$88 inLost-$8828554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Grizzlies48c154.72$74 inWon+$8120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies48c141.05$68 inWon+$73.4291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Grizzlies47c134.48$63 inWon+$71.2743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Timberwolves58c120.69$70 inLost-$708357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Grizzlies44c113.69$51 inWon+$63.151,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Timberwolves56c95.2$53 inLost-$53.2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies42c73.33$31 inWon+$42.5350651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Timberwolves58c60$35 inLost-$34.861253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Timberwolves59c53.61$31 inLost-$31.4135851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies48c50$24 inWon+$2638252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Timberwolves41c48.93$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Timberwolves58c43.1$25 inLost-$2514150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves59c37.29$22 inLost-$221,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c8…c0fabacked Timberwolves58c34.33$20 inLost-$19.91666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed Grizzlies76c30$23 inWon+$7.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1409…9a8fbacked Timberwolves58c25.86$15 inLost-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves58c25.86$15 inLost-$1517345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Grizzlies47c25.26$12 inWon+$13.3920352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Timberwolves58c22.41$13 inLost-$135267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.