TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes46c168$77 inLost-$77.289258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Yes46c123$57 inLost-$56.585253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes46c76$35 inLost-$34.969560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes46c42$19 inLost-$19.328852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed No54c37$20 inWon+$17.023865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed No54c35$19 inWon+$16.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked No54c35$19 inWon+$16.13447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed No54c32$17 inWon+$14.723234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed No54c29$16 inWon+$13.342759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed No54c25$14 inWon+$11.55056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed No54c24$13 inWon+$11.042850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked No54c23$12 inWon+$10.582065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked No54c23$12 inWon+$10.583551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked No54c20$11 inWon+$9.23046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed No54c19$10 inWon+$8.744057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.