TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under59c100,000$58,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,299.9840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c40,288$21,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,140.211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c32,347$14,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,791.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,25021250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over42c17,221$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,235.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over43c15,921$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over41c7,600$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over41c6,818$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.5334654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Under51c6,734$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.692147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c5,474$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Over49c5,178$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5375437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over41c4,965$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.6911444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over42c4,278$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.5871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Over41c3,708$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.313063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over41c3,145$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0751,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c2,000$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7912051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,693$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.443,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,643$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c1,630$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c1,420$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3915141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,406$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c1,396$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over41c1,376$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56617454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over41c1,190$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over48c1,008$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over43c958.84$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.324151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c717$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.311,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over41c653.86$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6219647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over41c535.18$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over43c444.34$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19313951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over27c444.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under56c442.83$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over48c412.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over49c292.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under54c256.44$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9633150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c251.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5218852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over47c208.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over48c207.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over43c161.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over45c153.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over42c145$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.914949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c136.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over43c127.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over47c122.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c119.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over48c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c102.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.082,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.831,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.618339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over41c89.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under58c88.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over47c85.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over41c75.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over47c73.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c67.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over43c61.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3346346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over41c52.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c47.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Over43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.726254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over46c41.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Over42c41.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.526038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Over48c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3911644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Under51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1990…5358backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a1…a9afbacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92969%20 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over48c33.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over48c29.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under59c28.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.840960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under58c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.765052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7822655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under59c25.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.416343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Over41c24.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.175250%26 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over47c21.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Over47c21.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.023145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.