NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e75ba823a852fa0365911bd4fa8f48b6f1d248da8b1c52b843a3f7555a07b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 59c | 100,000$58,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,299.98 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 52c | 40,288$21,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,140.2 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 32,347$14,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,791.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 42c | 17,221$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 43c | 15,921$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 41c | 7,600$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 41c | 6,818$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.53 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Under | 51c | 6,734$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 5,474$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 49c | 5,178$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 41c | 4,965$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.69 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 42c | 4,278$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.58 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Over | 41c | 3,708$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.3 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 41c | 3,145$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,693$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,643$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.7 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 48c | 1,420$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.39 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,406$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 1,396$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 41c | 1,376$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 41c | 1,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.72 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 43c | 958.84$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 717$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 41c | 653.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 41c | 535.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 43c | 444.34$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 27c | 444.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 56c | 442.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 292.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 256.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 251.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 43c | 161.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 45c | 153.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 136.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 47c | 122.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 119.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 102.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 41c | 89.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 58c | 88.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 47c | 85.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 41c | 75.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 47c | 73.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 67.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 61.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 41c | 52.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 47.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 46c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Over | 42c | 41.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 48c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…5358backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 48c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 59c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 41c | 24.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 47c | 21.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.