NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a2f43d447ef6350a0637d29b402dfd454895d3a2f23abbdd24e4873f0002bf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 29, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	21,898$11,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,168.81	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	49c	16,393$7,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,402.62	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	49c	16,000$7,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,160	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	47c	13,813$6,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,321.15	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Over	52c	12,379$6,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,437.26	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	53c	8,108$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,277.13	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	50c	8,004$4,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,001.83	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	51c	5,843$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,979.89	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	49c	5,510$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,810.2	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Over	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.97	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Over	51c	3,800$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	53c	3,630$1,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908.99	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	2,645$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.02	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	2,299$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.29	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	49c	2,245$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.9	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	51c	2,146$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.58	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	50c	2,076$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.99	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	1,455$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.67	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under	50c	1,440$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under	50c	1,240$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	49c	1,236$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.36	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	1,143$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.93	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over	52c	1,012$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.58	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	49c	671.52$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.48	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under	49c	491$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.41	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over	52c	480.66$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.55	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Over	52c	453.77$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.39	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	52c	447.75$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.74	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	50c	420$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Over	76c	412.31$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.73	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under	49c	380$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.8	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Under	11c	330.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	19cpaid	+215%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	53c	312.34$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.54	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	49c	310$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.1	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	49c	276$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.93	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under	47c	240$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.2	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	50c	230.02$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.01	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	53c	212.76$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.76	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over	52c	205.71$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.66	111	45%50 W · 61 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	49c	203$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Over	74c	144.1$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.37	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Over	52c	143.31$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	47c	138.13$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.21	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Over	73c	123.06$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.86	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	49c	122.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.44	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	50c	111.21$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.04	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Over	52c	104.27$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under	49c	104.01$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.13	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under	49c	102$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	183	39.3%72 W · 111 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over	53c	96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.88	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Over	52c	95.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over	53c	85.47$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over	52c	81.65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.73	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x103e…062dbacked Over	53c	80.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over	53c	74.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over	52c	72.12$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under	49c	71.43$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under	47c	70.94$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under	48c	70.02$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.41	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under	49c	69.06$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	44c	66.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Over	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	47c	66.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	61.8$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.36	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Over	73c	57.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over	53c	55.62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Over	52c	51.47$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x89a7…742abacked Over	69c	51.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.43	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Over	64c	50.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Over	73c	49.3$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	76	50%38 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	47c	48.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over	73c	48.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Over	52c	48.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522e…02e7backed Over	52c	48.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Over	52c	45.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Over	52c	45.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb29…0b62backed Under	50c	43.2$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under	51c	41.13$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.34	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Over	53c	39.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4a…e477backed Over	52c	39.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	54cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	52c	38.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	37.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over	53c	37.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over	52c	36.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Over	53c	35.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc440…922ebacked Over	59c	33.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 31.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. MavericksTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event