Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2941cd07e20d3e2d281a56dfe5f2dd25861704dba8e628a2c27483e180f4f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 731.67$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.37 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 431.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 51c | 193.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 61c | 140.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 133.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 41c | 126.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 62c | 85.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 40c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 31c | 38.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 62c | 35.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 35c | 29.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 58c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 60c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.