Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5101de9ccf4303a170f8dc5c5d79924c01992fd30dc5082d8f87232d6aeeea51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 66c | 36,402$23,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,421.66 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 34c | 10,895$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.3 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 76c | 5,088$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 3,680$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.55 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,297$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.4 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 35c | 468.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 431$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 34c | 280$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 34c | 213.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 34c | 190$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 104.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 25c | 100.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 73c | 67.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 65c | 46.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 35c | 35.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.