TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Creighton Bluejays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Huskiesof Connecticut Huskies, Creighton Bluejays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Connecticut Huskies77c12,466$9,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.831,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays24c12,345$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Connecticut Huskies76c6,218$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.832030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Creighton Bluejays27c2,608$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.1999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Creighton Bluejays24c2,095$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.351,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Connecticut Huskies75c2,059$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.261,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Connecticut Huskies79c1,799$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7725254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays24c1,680$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Creighton Bluejays24c1,666$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.211,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Connecticut Huskies76c1,213$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0915733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays20c1,004$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Creighton Bluejays21c760.75$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.474,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Creighton Bluejays27c698.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.522339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Creighton Bluejays17c640$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Connecticut Huskies75c639$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays24c500.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.332,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Connecticut Huskies79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1057272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbb…7fdabacked Creighton Bluejays25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Creighton Bluejays21c471.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Connecticut Huskies76c410.03$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a1…a9afbacked Connecticut Huskies76c368.42$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Creighton Bluejays23c364.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Connecticut Huskies75c334.06$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3225239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays21c266.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Creighton Bluejays26c263.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Creighton Bluejays18c259.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Connecticut Huskies75c257$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.251030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60d…0cccbacked Connecticut Huskies75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Connecticut Huskies78c240.29$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Creighton Bluejays25c235.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7958345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Creighton Bluejays24c212.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.22,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Connecticut Huskies76c211.41$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Creighton Bluejays7c190.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Creighton Bluejays25c187$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Connecticut Huskies78c151.35$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Creighton Bluejays25c147$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Creighton Bluejays24c140$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Connecticut Huskies78c125.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9c1…0328backed Connecticut Huskies78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Creighton Bluejays23c108.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Creighton Bluejays27c104.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Connecticut Huskies78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Creighton Bluejays15c88.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6612537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Creighton Bluejays17c87.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Connecticut Huskies74c76.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Connecticut Huskies77c76.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Connecticut Huskies75c61.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.442948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Creighton Bluejays25c57.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Creighton Bluejays26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Creighton Bluejays24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Creighton Bluejays23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Connecticut Huskies79c49.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.529134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Connecticut Huskies75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2510437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Connecticut Huskies78c33.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Connecticut Huskies77c31.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.092250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Connecticut Huskies78c24.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Connecticut Huskies75c14.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.