TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,012,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,175,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,012,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes75c232,650$174,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,162.5819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No25c185,000$45,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,603.3120140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes75c168,233$126,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,058.135556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No25c153,180$38,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,294.989141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No25c129,980$32,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,494.917542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes75c125,000$93,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,2502166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c107,001$11,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,416.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No23c94,158$22,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,087.0518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No25c53,600$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,4002657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No25c53,600$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.8931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No25c40,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No26c39,999$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.7415949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes76c39,597$30,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,501.9985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes75c31,585$23,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,020.381,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes79c28,225$22,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,79535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No25c27,777$7,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,012.8510335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No0c26,153$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.751612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+324.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes80c23,434$18,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes79c22,186$17,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.015646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed No20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No9c17,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No18c16,147$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.491758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes75c14,866$11,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes75c14,809$11,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.082,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes75c14,317$10,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.268259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes77c12,800$9,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.9914450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes75c12,200$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes78c10,805$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.8914254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9710236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No4c8,281$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.310042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes75c7,640$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes80c7,475$5,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.531,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes75c7,462$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c1…711bbacked Yes75c7,404$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes75c7,152$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.324755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c5…457fbacked Yes75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7504100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes75c6,974$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.61656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes79c6,794$5,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.252,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No25c6,788$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6972548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes75c6,732$5,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.045058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No25c6,688$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c6,255$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.021,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Yes75c6,197$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes78c6,126$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.741,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No25c6,097$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.251060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c6,050$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.144,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No24c5,883$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.914751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes75c5,201$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.167844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No22c5,138$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.261650%8 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No11c5,040$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes76c4,700$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1282373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c4,689$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes76c4,600$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12416753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No25c4,562$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.529458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes75c4,400$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1003250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No25c4,331$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0786550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes75c4,090$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.3720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes75c4,071$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.754264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No20c4,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8207252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No25c3,858$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.56043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes77c3,371$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No25c3,325$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.253151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No5c3,289$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No25c3,184$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.961723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes79c3,120$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.254755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No25c3,059$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.757544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes77c2,972$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.521643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Yes78c2,920$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.944065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes79c2,600$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5462774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No25c2,521$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.2510159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No26c2,450$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.043138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes79c2,405$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0612649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed No22c2,306$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.323850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d3…87bcbacked No21c2,294$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes76c2,259$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.65862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes76c2,251$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.125352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes78c2,200$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4799756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed No15c2,190$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No17c2,132$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.769358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked No13c2,010$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No25c2,003$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.7521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed Yes76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39a…2963backed No15c1,923$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…c232backed No26c1,841$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No22c1,641$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.023351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed No26c1,515$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No21c1,504$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2417053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.