Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d38f9e2d109b2daa3be978eab56e4f73d0db57372069447071f9b31a7a5a3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,012,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,175,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,012,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 75c | 232,650$174,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,162.58 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 25c | 185,000$45,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,603.31 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 75c | 168,233$126,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,058.13 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 25c | 153,180$38,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,294.98 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 25c | 129,980$32,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,494.91 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 75c | 125,000$93,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,250 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 107,001$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 23c | 94,158$22,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,087.05 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 25c | 53,600$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 25c | 53,600$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,399.89 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 26c | 39,999$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.74 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 76c | 39,597$30,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,501.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 75c | 31,585$23,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,020.38 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 79c | 28,225$22,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 25c | 27,777$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.85 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 0c | 26,153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +324.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 23,434$18,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 79c | 22,186$17,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.01 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed No | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 9c | 17,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 18c | 16,147$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 75c | 14,866$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 75c | 14,809$11,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 75c | 14,317$10,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.26 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 77c | 12,800$9,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 75c | 12,200$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 78c | 10,805$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.89 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 4c | 8,281$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 75c | 7,640$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 80c | 7,475$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 75c | 7,462$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…711bbacked Yes | 75c | 7,404$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 75c | 7,152$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 75c | 7,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 75c | 6,974$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 6,794$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 25c | 6,788$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 75c | 6,732$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.04 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 25c | 6,688$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 6,255$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.02 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 75c | 6,197$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 78c | 6,126$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 25c | 6,097$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 6,050$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.14 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 24c | 5,883$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 75c | 5,201$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.16 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 22c | 5,138$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 11c | 5,040$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 76c | 4,700$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 6c | 4,689$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 76c | 4,600$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 25c | 4,562$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.5 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 75c | 4,400$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 25c | 4,331$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 75c | 4,090$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.37 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 75c | 4,071$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 20c | 4,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 25c | 3,858$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.5 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 77c | 3,371$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.82 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 25c | 3,325$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 5c | 3,289$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 25c | 3,184$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 79c | 3,120$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 25c | 3,059$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.75 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 77c | 2,972$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Yes | 78c | 2,920$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.94 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 79c | 2,600$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 25c | 2,521$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.25 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 26c | 2,450$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 79c | 2,405$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 22c | 2,306$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…87bcbacked No | 21c | 2,294$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes | 76c | 2,259$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 76c | 2,251$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 78c | 2,200$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed No | 15c | 2,190$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 17c | 2,132$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 13c | 2,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 25c | 2,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.75 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 15c | 1,923$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…c232backed No | 26c | 1,841$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 22c | 1,641$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed No | 26c | 1,515$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 21c | 1,504$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.