Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d13b672189342325291dbf1c92969ca8ae96991adfc76d4dc43892ad31e1828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 29,967$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 14,587$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.35 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 9c | 13,408$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 6,397$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 5,048$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.67 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,898$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.83 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 1c | 4,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +324.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 3,875$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.21 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Yes | 9c | 3,471$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,396$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 10c | 3,138$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d86ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,987$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 7c | 2,581$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 7c | 1,661$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 1,526$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 9c | 1,144$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,080$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 3c | 986$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…6e95backed Yes | 9c | 940.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Yes | 9c | 930$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 5c | 834.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 816$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 6c | 635.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 8c | 599.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Yes | 9c | 599.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…5822backed Yes | 9c | 519$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…77f9backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 7c | 486.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 5c | 462.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…eddebacked Yes | 7c | 435.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 432.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…0ac3backed Yes | 9c | 423$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf022…f816backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…c397backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…c7b1backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 368.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked Yes | 9c | 307.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…ba8cbacked Yes | 7c | 286.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…5255backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…8318backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a8…adc7backed Yes | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 8c | 214.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 201.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…c0a1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 7c | 173.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 8c | 173.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 6c | 166.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…e9b4backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4cc0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…0816backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…baacbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…7d62backed Yes | 10c | 122.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 10c | 117.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…c05bbacked Yes | 10c | 104.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…8dfdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…b6fabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…855bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…6696backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.