Premier League · resolved market
Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86202bef03fd3747fce1355e1f4be53e7694aad23940ce0f9a69dbc32c2d322e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 63c | 2,145$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.88 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,537$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.1 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 1,067$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 796.8$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.87 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 80c | 779.15$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.32 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 531.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 338.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 21c | 250.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 153$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 78c | 143.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 131.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed Over | 79c | 14.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Grimsby Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.