Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0805aea2ca6e789be9fdcee757bd06bb09d01729a7db0ebe16b773c6e70bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grimsby Town FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Grimsby Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grimsby Town FC | 62c | 4,599$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 42c | 2,197$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.83 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 42c | 2,190$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Grimsby Town FC | 61c | 1,653$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.61 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 25c | 618.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 40c | 442.26$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grimsby Town FC | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 19c | 262.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 28c | 164$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grimsby Town FC | 58c | 131.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 35c | 125.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 42c | 114.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 33c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 33c | 92.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 22c | 64.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 33c | 54.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Grimsby Town FC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grimsby Town FC | 80c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Grimsby Town FC | 58c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Grimsby Town FC | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Grimsby Town FC | 57c | 17.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.