Premier League · resolved market
Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff2639e31ad1706fbc8f70cd02c583419f16bb74d6c3be384d459e1a4506d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 6,618$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 30c | 1,249$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.04 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 1,035$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 60c | 335.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 321.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 268.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Under | 47c | 263.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 54c | 238.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 40c | 236.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 40c | 224.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 122.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 62.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 45c | 37.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 35.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 55c | 31.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Under | 73c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Grimsby Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.