TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c7,443$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over72c2,426$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under28c1,883$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over78c1,790$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.52290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c1,547$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over71c1,116$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.542050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d8…6783backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over63c841.46$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c816.77$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over71c809.34$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0645…ba42backed Under30c780$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under29c775.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22570%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c681.94$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9411268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Over79c645.05$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over68c585.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.363066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under29c517.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over65c422$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under29c378$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x816e…abe1backed Over71c288.73$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a1e…5a02backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c258.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over70c219.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f7…6aacbacked Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over72c187.85$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Over62c158.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over71c157$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d53…c01cbacked Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over69c144.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.958065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under20c116.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.688160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over65c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba1…9656backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over73c96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.289353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under36c80.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.592623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c76.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.427661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over71c67.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.662171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Under30c67.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under29c62.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0921251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…5644backed Under29c62.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Under18c61.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over72c61.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over76c60.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over72c59.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.734170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over69c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf7…2fc3backed Over71c52.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under29c48.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over71c47.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.686972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over64c46.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.545448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1511161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over72c41.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over64c41.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4617058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2112744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over72c31.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.832263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over72c27.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.836155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.198158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc0…d68bbacked Over71c24.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2211…ed34backed Over72c23.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…9a07backed Over72c20.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64772.3%34 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Over72c18.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.