TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9f7…6aac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+170.3%+$824.11
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$736.5
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+150%+$715.5
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$116.45
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$87.06
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$70.11
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$95.57
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$323
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$489.27
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$361.38
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$109.39
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$51.51
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$75.29
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+109.2%+$218.33
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$222.51
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$93.7
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$83.39
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$115.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$59.52
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$185
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$75.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$344.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,276.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.