La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f03be818f34e566ecab6a0682f63aa41e5368898e01167bc61fb5b30e059c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 5,423$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 53c | 3,329$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 1,914$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 750.22$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 53c | 572$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…0787backed No | 47c | 571.06$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 566.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 48c | 245.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 9c | 225.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 48c | 209.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 50c | 139.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 50c | 128.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 55c | 118.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 101.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 51c | 56.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 45c | 53.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 39.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked No | 52c | 39.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 48c | 29.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Yes | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…6aacbacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.