College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. San Diego State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc492332092cfbf34abcd6b1ba105296b7dde36792ab9620409435027a40fb0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof North Texas, San Diego State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $805,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked San Diego State | 30c | 437,421$129,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,835.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed North Texas | 71c | 177,910$125,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,350.64 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Texas | 70c | 77,848$54,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,121.98 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed San Diego State | 32c | 46,596$14,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,910.73 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Texas | 70c | 37,762$26,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,227.29 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed North Texas | 70c | 35,766$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,766.04 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Texas | 72c | 32,569$23,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.95 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked North Texas | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed North Texas | 70c | 28,907$20,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.51 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Texas | 70c | 26,346$18,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked San Diego State | 1c | 15,829$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego State | 4c | 14,291$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.87 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed North Texas | 68c | 13,700$9,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.15 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego State | 30c | 13,153$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.36 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked San Diego State | 1c | 12,774$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed North Texas | 70c | 12,400$8,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.14 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed San Diego State | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Diego State | 8c | 8,755$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.09 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Texas | 74c | 7,871$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.48 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed San Diego State | 28c | 7,816$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.73 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed North Texas | 71c | 5,164$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.55 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed San Diego State | 4c | 4,970$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Texas | 70c | 4,965$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.84 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed San Diego State | 0c | 4,920$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked North Texas | 70c | 4,643$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed San Diego State | 26c | 4,574$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked North Texas | 71c | 3,800$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Texas | 70c | 3,144$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.06 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed San Diego State | 31c | 3,115$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.81 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked North Texas | 70c | 3,075$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed North Texas | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed San Diego State | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed San Diego State | 2c | 2,456$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed North Texas | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked North Texas | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…efc0backed San Diego State | 10c | 1,889$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked San Diego State | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed San Diego State | 13c | 1,529$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas | 69c | 1,439$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State | 20c | 1,318$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed North Texas | 78c | 1,199$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego State | 4c | 1,014$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed San Diego State | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed San Diego State | 30c | 999.91$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego State | 10c | 974.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked San Diego State | 27c | 889.06$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked San Diego State | 3c | 887.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed San Diego State | 16c | 834.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed San Diego State | 9c | 792.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed North Texas | 74c | 770.42$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed San Diego State | 20c | 707.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed San Diego State | 28c | 667.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked San Diego State | 10c | 620$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked North Texas | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed San Diego State | 32c | 562.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked San Diego State | 29c | 516.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego State | 11c | 514.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed San Diego State | 13c | 499.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego State | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego State | 7c | 479.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Diego State | 9c | 460$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed North Texas | 69c | 457.97$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked North Texas | 75c | 400.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego State | 8c | 320.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed San Diego State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…61d1backed San Diego State | 19c | 285.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Texas | 71c | 283$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked San Diego State | 30c | 271.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed North Texas | 79c | 259.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed North Texas | 76c | 259.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed North Texas | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed North Texas | 76c | 249.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed San Diego State | 30c | 248$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked North Texas | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…6aacbacked North Texas | 68c | 235.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked San Diego State | 28c | 229.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked North Texas | 75c | 221.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas | 77c | 217.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed San Diego State | 10c | 217.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed San Diego State | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed North Texas | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed North Texas | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked San Diego State | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed San Diego State | 30c | 184.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked North Texas | 75c | 182.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed San Diego State | 27c | 178.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked San Diego State | 10c | 177.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Texas | 63c | 175.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked San Diego State | 33c | 172.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed San Diego State | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…d32cbacked San Diego State | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed San Diego State | 8c | 157.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked San Diego State | 31c | 154.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked San Diego State | 14c | 150.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Diego State | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…adfabacked North Texas | 72c | 148.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed San Diego State | 34c | 148.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed San Diego State | 35c | 139.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed North Texas | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked North Texas | 72c | 138.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. San Diego Statethis page
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: 1H MoneylineNorth Texas won
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 52.5Over won
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-3.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-5.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-6.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-7.5)San Diego State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.