College Football · resolved market
O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849ef23a4a570ba62d754d76d0ce8e8d5f5b00abb5006251f081c44fd3efab61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 94,399$49,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,909.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 69,833$33,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,613.61 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 25,439$13,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,214.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 20,200$9,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,391.5 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 20,129$9,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,505.49 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,999$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.7 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 1,079$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.46 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 50c | 984.58$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.29 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 801$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 53c | 567$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…c4c7backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…1052backed Under | 49c | 398.57$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 95.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 54.5this page
- North Texas vs. San Diego StateNorth Texas won
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: 1H MoneylineNorth Texas won
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 52.5Over won
- North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-3.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-5.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-6.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: North Texas (-7.5)San Diego State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.