NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e38c851001fa507040a70523c12be2de959fd100f5137e8578897a7548e6f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Flyers, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Flyers | 38c | 182,086$68,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,575.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Utah | 62c | 178,752$111,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,479.31 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 62c | 42,368$26,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,099.74 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 38c | 22,028$8,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,396.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Flyers | 38c | 20,500$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 55c | 11,910$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Flyers | 48c | 10,428$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Flyers | 39c | 6,767$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.13 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.91 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…c538backed Utah | 4c | 5,130$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Utah | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flyers | 45c | 4,932$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.41 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 39c | 4,439$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.21 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 36c | 4,351$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Utah | 40c | 4,346$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.4 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Utah | 55c | 4,251$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.95 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 38c | 3,774$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.26 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 54c | 3,685$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Utah | 62c | 3,207$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 77c | 3,172$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.73 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Utah | 63c | 3,165$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.22 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Utah | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.93 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Flyers | 38c | 2,184$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers | 1c | 2,051$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah | 30c | 2,000$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.71 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 37c | 1,880$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.72 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah | 31c | 1,766$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.91 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Utah | 62c | 1,765$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.54 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 37c | 1,709$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.39 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah | 18c | 1,643$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.99 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Utah | 77c | 1,613$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 63c | 1,559$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.23 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 62c | 1,555$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.45 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 74c | 1,493$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 1,488$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Utah | 14c | 1,430$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.8 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 33c | 1,425$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.03 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 36c | 1,422$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Utah | 63c | 1,381$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.95 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Flyers | 37c | 1,325$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Flyers | 75c | 1,322$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flyers | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Utah | 12c | 1,272$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers | 38c | 1,247$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.86 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Utah | 15c | 1,221$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Utah | 6c | 1,202$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 36c | 1,200$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 62c | 1,157$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.63 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Flyers | 44c | 1,105$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 39c | 1,011$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flyers | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Flyers | 37c | 986.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Flyers | 38c | 957.14$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Utah | 63c | 847$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.39 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Flyers | 37c | 809.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Flyers | 37c | 789.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Utah | 62c | 767.37$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Utah | 38c | 731$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.26 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Utah | 56c | 716.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 37c | 711.17$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 12c | 709.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.54 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flyers | 37c | 681.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…6aacbacked Flyers | 39c | 633.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 52c | 614.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 57c | 607.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 29c | 585.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.75 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Utah | 46c | 582.07$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.12 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Utah | 64c | 571.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Utah | 63c | 564.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Utah | 55c | 545.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flyers | 37c | 530.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Flyers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Utah | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Flyers | 38c | 468.38$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Flyers | 73c | 431.13$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 35c | 420.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Utah | 63c | 411.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah | 23c | 410$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Flyers | 74c | 408.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 85 | 71.8%61 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Flyers | 38c | 399.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 37c | 387.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Flyers | 37c | 387.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…1dd4backed Utah | 19c | 382.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Flyers | 38c | 378.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1774…3166backed Utah | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…30eebacked Utah | 62c | 349.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Utah | 62c | 338.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 61c | 334.56$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Utah | 62c | 324$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Utahthis page
- Flyers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.