Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f69ebc7251b9cf619aa1750b2fcb480ffefabcfe0299d8ea0249105dba160d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Under | 32c | 1,723$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 69c | 1,447$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 1,216$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…6aacbacked Over | 69c | 824.64$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 50c | 792.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 759.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 70c | 481.04$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 479.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 468.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Over | 69c | 463.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…a5d7backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 68c | 422$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 370$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 60c | 242.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…2917backed Over | 69c | 183.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 176.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 69c | 164$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 69c | 143.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 139.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 136.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 98.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 96.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 90.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 60.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed Under | 32c | 59.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 54.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 70c | 50.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 69c | 47.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed Over | 69c | 31.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…aef4backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 68c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 69c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.