TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c121,291$54,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,833.112450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,0007938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under56c68,560$38,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,483.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c50,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,00019549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over45c29,000$13,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,951742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under55c14,980$8,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,239633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c5,010$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.4598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c4,775$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.2140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under55c3,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.157444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c1,294$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6210361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c1,069$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.6433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under58c999.96$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.982250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c930.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c923.5$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c879.26$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.896328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over45c755.56$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.568757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6717744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.675354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Under3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over47c551.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.453228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over33c469.69$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.372944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c437.07$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c431.86$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over42c342.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.79937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over42c323$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over61c307.77$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under58c279.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c251.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.167254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under56c239.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3913650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2711429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under55c225$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under57c203.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.812552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Under57c137.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over43c134.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.756937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under64c131.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over43c125.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.582343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over32c125.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.186043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.48651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2812232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dbb…3c7abacked Over29c100.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over42c99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c83.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.574753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over44c73.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.513915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Under70c71.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7711955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6596…b50bbacked Under59c67.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.521566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under56c58.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.032556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under56c58.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.22040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under57c54.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.027152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.353026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over47c53.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8411349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Over43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.