Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f495fd2c310b255e954ea3204fc4305e48d96030c2522ec87a24ada9efc37a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 47c | 6,917$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 3,640$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,491$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.45 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,220$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 54c | 1,427$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,115$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 1,022$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…e799backed No | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…c6cfbacked No | 54c | 727$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 54c | 720$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 46c | 640.4$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 425$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 34c | 226.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 48c | 207.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 72c | 134.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 55c | 109.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 89.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 69c | 84.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked No | 77c | 65.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 48c | 52.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…dce1backed Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…148fbacked Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed No | 54c | 34.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 31.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 46c | 28.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 41c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.