TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$537,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$560,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5aa…1449backed No49c138,163$67,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,699.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No49c129,224$63,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,319.78743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c52,533$26,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,739.5198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes51c39,229$20,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,222.34757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No51c20,709$10,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,495.825736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes51c13,000$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3701050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes51c10,971$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,375.7922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.922250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes50c9,697$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.879952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c8,424$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.5896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes51c7,469$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes51c6,359$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.9926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c6,050$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.3349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes49c5,337$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes44c5,153$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.3534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c5,147$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.0340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+163.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes51c4,980$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.394445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes51c4,925$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.193636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c4,327$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.82,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0096442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9207560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf3d1…1e5abacked No49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.177444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No48c2,856$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.791729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.192864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes51c2,462$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.1233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f7…6aacbacked Yes52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No48c2,200$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.0140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c2,085$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.0241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c2,083$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed No50c2,017$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9906142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.999631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.786829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes37c1,947$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.932142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0833357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes51c1,824$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.7617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c1,802$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.4922743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes50c1,543$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.497345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c1,538$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.2148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7357255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes51c1,454$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2310940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c1,363$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c1,271$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4126241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes50c1,260$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.9612049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes50c1,237$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes51c1,049$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.983743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c1,043$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes50c1,002$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.451668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.392552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes51c977.37$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.911650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes51c969.63$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.122475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.57958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe993…f57dbacked No49c900.12$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c3…8f47backed Yes52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c900$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Yes51c843.14$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes34c830.32$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.763357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Yes52c801.92$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc19f…d8b2backed Yes52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+83.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes53c755.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.784463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c705.77$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No50c696.69$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.659440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes31c694$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8611964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Yes50c690$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2713946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes35c671.43$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.433444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed No49c670$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf823…2b46backed Yes52c660$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed Yes52c630$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked No21c623.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3287…3dc3backed No48c620$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c609.76$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2947558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes35c572.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1817538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No51c549.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes39c518.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.762937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.