TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No72c14,203$10,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.838941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes31c9,380$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No73c8,021$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.552748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No72c6,262$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.3733148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c5,012$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.4445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c4,523$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No72c3,806$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.565347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c3,575$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.2968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes29c3,460$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c3,036$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked No49c3,000$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c2,842$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.5996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c2,263$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.0141854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c2,255$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes28c1,488$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,438$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.6149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c1,351$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c1,283$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.161,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes37c1,265$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes13c1,119$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.526924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No72c999.97$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.995064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes43c896.77$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.612920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No73c887.5$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No57c875.44$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No72c850.78$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.223641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No78c720.44$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6616838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked No73c665.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c645$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes31c625.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No73c440.68$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes17c410.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Yes19c404.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes29c350.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.575028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No44c340$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.411161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No72c333.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8126046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c268.68$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes11c248.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8630828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked No45c225$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9a…002bbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x87bc…ff29backed Yes28c168.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes29c166.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.332240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c138.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c127.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9220749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes32c125.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes28c118.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes15c113.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes28c105.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed No75c103$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes34c94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes14c87.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2816219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c83.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.212929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes29c83.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.171020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No78c83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes17c82.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.89440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes27c73.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…9321backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed No47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c62.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864f…5c71backed Yes28c56.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9d…226cbacked Yes28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No72c49.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.998158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c49.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1323244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b9…b4ecbacked Yes28c44.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.