TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87bc…ff29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$44.97
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+457.7%+$59.75
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.93
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.45
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.87
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.96
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.01
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.02
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.87
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$52.12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+86.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.88
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.50 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$47.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.