Stocks · resolved market
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2a6e038af6545292857254d38e2bf2853f74f7e9fb739d3cce18e75702fb26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 33c | 6,100$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.19 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 65c | 5,124$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.1 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 53c | 2,878$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.4 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed No | 46c | 1,841$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 50c | 1,225$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.19 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 45c | 1,220$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.27 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…2b60backed Yes | 15c | 1,063$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 58c | 1,046$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 37c | 948.25$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.33 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 73c | 941.58$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 57c | 723.05$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 40c | 720$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 63c | 668.35$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…cbc5backed Yes | 58c | 639.96$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 628.08$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 614.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…eaffbacked Yes | 41c | 596.84$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed No | 46c | 540.91$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed No | 77c | 540.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 51c | 540.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 523.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 35c | 501.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…0aa5backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 60c | 437.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 351.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked No | 50c | 338.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked No | 40c | 308.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 54c | 281.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…5e0bbacked Yes | 40c | 277$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 76c | 263.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 261.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 260.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 257.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 7c | 249.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed No | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 63c | 220$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 56c | 215.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 47c | 213.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 212.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 24c | 208.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 43c | 200.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…7382backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…d768backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 56c | 199.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…57e4backed Yes | 41c | 196.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 67c | 195.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 28c | 181.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…6d50backed No | 66c | 178.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…2755backed No | 77c | 176$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…7a1abacked Yes | 24c | 173.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90c…73debacked Yes | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…bd91backed Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…2795backed Yes | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…58edbacked Yes | 40c | 153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…c561backed Yes | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…1c5dbacked Yes | 31c | 149.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 146.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…82a7backed Yes | 40c | 139$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 67c | 136.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…3f95backed Yes | 61c | 133.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 33c | 126$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…670abacked Yes | 36c | 120.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…9e75backed No | 20c | 112.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +412.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 36c | 111.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…0478backed No | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…78bdbacked No | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked No | 36c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…1744backed No | 60c | 103$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…c78abacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da8…9382backed No | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…03e0backed Yes | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…2b3ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…fbd8backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…7f7bbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…3f32backed No | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…a9bcbacked No | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…449cbacked No | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…0010backed No | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Yes | 49c | 97.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…1d29backed No | 60c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…61f7backed No | 60c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 24c | 96.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 64c | 92.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 67c | 85.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 28c | 85.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?this page
- Will Palantir dip to $111 in February?No won
- Will Palantir dip to $138 in February?Yes won
- Will Palantir dip to $147 in February?Yes won
- Will Palantir dip to $162 in February?Yes won
- Will Palantir dip to $168 in February?Yes won
- Will Palantir reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Palantir reach $186 in February?No won
- Will Palantir reach $195 in February?No won
- Will Palantir reach $207 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.