Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482eab96f7df799c20e9a45099764388aa57c4ef55d7d18fdd0cda219f0cccb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 36c | 4,436$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.87 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 3,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 30c | 3,111$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.01 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 76c | 2,911$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.64 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 33c | 1,985$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.32 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 44c | 1,455$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.37 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 76c | 1,300$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 1,121$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.03 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes | 39c | 1,053$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 35c | 1,035$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.28 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 59c | 955.6$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 76c | 899.97$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 27c | 746.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.34 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 23c | 726.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…fc4abacked Yes | 63c | 663.21$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 63c | 624.5$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…2755backed No | 65c | 610$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…397ebacked No | 68c | 603.6$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Yes | 66c | 600$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed No | 59c | 583.81$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 566.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 58c | 518.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 49c | 472.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 47c | 467$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 24c | 414$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Yes | 64c | 405.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 24c | 379.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…02a9backed Yes | 43c | 377.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…160ebacked No | 59c | 375.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 340.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 61c | 316.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…edc8backed Yes | 65c | 314.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…c796backed No | 38c | 311.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 38c | 305.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 59c | 303.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 37c | 291.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 272.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 60c | 265.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed No | 45c | 259.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 39c | 252.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 57c | 247.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…8e08backed No | 70c | 239.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 231.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 62c | 227.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…2900backed No | 29c | 226$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 215.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed No | 33c | 213.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 205.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d98dbacked No | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…ffebbacked Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 74c | 192$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 73c | 188.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…3c94backed No | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…eebdbacked No | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…484bbacked No | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 16c | 173.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…233abacked No | 48c | 171$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…d303backed No | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…e6c2backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…3051backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…1dc4backed No | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…bf03backed No | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…2770backed Yes | 52c | 163$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…a331backed No | 48c | 162$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…dd4ebacked No | 48c | 161$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184b…e7d0backed Yes | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…b41dbacked Yes | 52c | 157$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…5c2dbacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…52e5backed Yes | 52c | 156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…0b05backed No | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…62debacked Yes | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…0c4dbacked Yes | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 66c | 154.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…b107backed Yes | 52c | 152$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 43c | 151.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…14abbacked Yes | 52c | 151$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…7c77backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…8e4bbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 73c | 149.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1c…9921backed Yes | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…b680backed Yes | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…f313backed Yes | 69c | 145.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…3aebbacked Yes | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Yes | 69c | 144.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…6597backed Yes | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 34c | 132.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 36c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 57c | 116.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 38c | 115.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…7a89backed No | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 44c | 102.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?this page
- Will NVIDIA dip to $108 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $144 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $192 in February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $220 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $236 in February?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $252 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.