Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea758f91f0a67b68a470a3f9315fe4604aedb3357021159216c817625cbe282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpool FCof Liverpool FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed West Ham United FC | 64c | 4,664$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked West Ham United FC | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.84 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC | 43c | 2,927$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 44c | 1,495$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed West Ham United FC | 27c | 1,249$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.76 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 978.54$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Liverpool FC | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed West Ham United FC | 73c | 191.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e6…1dcbbacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 130.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed West Ham United FC | 20c | 128.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Liverpool FC | 29c | 115$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed West Ham United FC | 45c | 111.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Liverpool FC | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liverpool FC | 24c | 82.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked West Ham United FC | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Liverpool FC | 23c | 74.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Liverpool FC | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked West Ham United FC | 74c | 67.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…ff29backed Liverpool FC | 27c | 61.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked West Ham United FC | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…11ddbacked Liverpool FC | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed West Ham United FC | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed West Ham United FC | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Liverpool FC | 52c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed West Ham United FC | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liverpool FC | 43c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…602cbacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 21.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.