Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c52b8f37ca5fcb1090b4b659f17d5164d46586e31113671f12a6a73216be64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 3,393$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 70c | 2,902$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 2,046$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.74 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 26c | 1,904$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Under | 53c | 1,872$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 37c | 827.08$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 64c | 782.61$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 39c | 761.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 17c | 625.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 608.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 532.03$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 398.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 35c | 339.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 251.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 75c | 223$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 219.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 216.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 66c | 211.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Under | 18c | 204.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…f5e2backed Under | 39c | 197.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Under | 76c | 178.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 168.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 35c | 165.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 26c | 139.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 30c | 135.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Over | 59c | 112.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Under | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…51b7backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 59c | 56.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 25c | 56.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 51c | 55.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 62c | 46.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 54c | 46.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 26c | 41.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 27c | 40.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 75c | 38.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Under | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 42c | 35.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 77c | 35.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…04d0backed Under | 43c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 43c | 33.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Under | 76c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 31.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 67c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…cecdbacked Over | 59c | 17.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.