Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06109fffcaff1f9685a23c68f4da03e72161b4790247c631596111c6fdd30767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 16c | 6,585$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.81 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 3,893$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 2,055$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,366$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 14c | 1,249$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 18c | 832.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 6c | 711.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Over | 16c | 635$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 385.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 17c | 277.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 15c | 254.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…ff29backed Over | 17c | 111.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…8561backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…6490backed Over | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.