Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x799ca3f3f587a0d8b28d35560a2372ee49810a694e3d8f92e33ef091f81c84ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 52,321$21,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,536.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 42c | 15,000$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 7,315$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.11 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 7,269$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 65c | 6,997$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.95 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 49c | 6,100$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 5,173$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.29 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Over | 79c | 3,988$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Over | 79c | 3,944$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 79c | 3,303$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 79c | 3,173$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 21c | 2,656$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 44c | 2,257$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 40c | 2,034$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.53 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 79c | 1,650$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 1,647$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.4 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 76c | 1,494$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.38 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,420$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 1,401$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 35c | 1,368$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.42 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…9ec7backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Under | 58c | 1,147$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.96 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 79c | 1,110$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 79c | 1,080$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.51 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,072$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 1,035$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.11 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 986.01$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 957.59$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 79c | 900$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…aad0backed Under | 39c | 822.7$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 79c | 791.46$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 21c | 790$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.1 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Over | 80c | 768.46$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 751.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 52c | 706.16$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 24c | 700$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a3a7backed Under | 60c | 698.08$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 31c | 648.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 47c | 642.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 79c | 616.91$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 79c | 599.08$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 79c | 583.91$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.29 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 44c | 536.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 79c | 533.32$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 21c | 510.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Under | 77c | 509$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 62c | 460$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 456.04$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 45c | 445$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…ab55backed Over | 46c | 412.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 410$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 66c | 400$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 320$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 48c | 310.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 77c | 308.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 60c | 299.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Over | 54c | 298.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 292.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 48c | 290.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 282.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Under | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 56c | 260$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 37c | 257$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 253.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 22c | 242.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Over | 7c | 240.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 21c | 235.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Under | 35c | 231.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…34d1backed Over | 66c | 227.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.