TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c52,321$21,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,536.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over42c15,000$6,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37413852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under22c9,091$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,090.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c7,315$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,787.1130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c7,269$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.472,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over65c6,997$4,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.953360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over49c6,100$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under21c5,173$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.2951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over79c5,063$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fdd…3608backed Over79c3,988$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Over79c3,944$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.6170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over79c3,303$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.221668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over79c3,173$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under21c2,656$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.932759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over44c2,257$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over40c2,034$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under79c1,650$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c1,647$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.415866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under66c1,525$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c1,494$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.3815060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,420$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over29c1,401$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.672,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under35c1,368$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.426852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Under58c1,147$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.964641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over79c1,110$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over79c1,080$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.5128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c1,072$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5269550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over77c1,035$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over79c1,013$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.992532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c986.01$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.641,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c957.59$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.531,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over79c900$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7115354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Under39c822.7$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over79c791.46$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.252356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under21c790$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…9783backed Over80c768.46$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under24c751.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under52c706.16$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.339053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48330050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over24c700$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3310924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Under60c698.08$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.231625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over31c648.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over47c642.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over79c616.91$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26415740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over79c599.08$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.92653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Over79c583.91$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.299156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over44c536.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.838257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over79c533.32$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.11,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under21c510.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.1217327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under77c509$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.575064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over62c460$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.25754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c456.04$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7414463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over45c445$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.719259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over47c430$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Over46c412.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c410$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.430059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over66c400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over79c320$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over48c310.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under77c308.24$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over36c300$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca70…85debacked Over79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Over79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23710874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over60c299.98$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.995362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Over54c298.63$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c292.41$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c290.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over70c282.86$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick45cpaid-79.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over28c270$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.553959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Under44c261.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.361040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.64348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under37c257$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9716357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over44c253.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under22c242.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2912236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked Over7c240.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under21c238.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over21c235.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Under35c231.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+77.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3df…34d1backed Over66c227.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.