Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd3b3adc631ba26305e15fd29bf21b6cc67629c94ccb74e5eaab76592366ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 68c | 312,783$212,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,090.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 32c | 296,280$94,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,809.6 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 32c | 11,488$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.32 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 10,708$7,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Under | 68c | 6,030$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.45 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 32c | 5,500$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 4,563$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 32c | 3,383$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.32 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 32c | 2,603$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.47 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.93 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 31c | 2,048$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 32c | 1,666$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 68c | 937.5$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 32c | 863.81$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 67c | 799.95$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 20c | 792.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed Over | 32c | 733.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 31c | 635.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 32c | 621.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 560.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 33c | 505.07$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 68c | 469.12$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 464.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 20c | 440$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 33c | 336.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 33c | 335.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 33c | 314.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 33c | 295.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 33c | 293.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 34c | 274.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…58e3backed Under | 68c | 256.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 68c | 256.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 33c | 251.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 247.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 243.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…0827backed Under | 68c | 222.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Under | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 13c | 217.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 33c | 139.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 115.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 98.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 69c | 97.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…d200backed Under | 69c | 97.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 68c | 73.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Over | 33c | 72.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 33c | 69.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 68c | 65.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 33c | 53.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…e345backed Over | 33c | 52.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…8c88backed Under | 69c | 50.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 69c | 47.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Over | 32c | 38.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…aaf8backed Under | 69c | 36.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…641bbacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 31c | 32.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Under | 72c | 30.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Under | 68c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…b0ecbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Under | 68c | 22.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 72c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.