TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x051b…b0ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$42.18
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.83
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.69
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.83
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.86
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+400%+$76
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$4.72
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.73
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$61.95
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$3.86
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.34
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$11.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.02
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+66.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.05
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$22.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$79.81
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.74
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.