TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$737,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under54c456,975$244,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,849.37850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over46c230,960$107,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,618.192556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over46c50,468$23,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,243.465635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under54c49,900$26,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,821.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c40,422$18,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,827.6144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over47c36,413$17,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,299.6484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over46c31,250$14,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,8751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c24,784$11,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,088.62,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c22,500$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,15015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over50c20,132$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,131.832166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8002955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c13,950$6,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,975.015846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over49c12,136$5,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,211.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c9,755$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,770.53,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1202744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under52c3,850$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Over47c3,681$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over47c3,333$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.494551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,966$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.1138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over38c2,115$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.112142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c2,008$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over78c1,030$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under54c955.72$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.098946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c899.76$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.14047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under34c895.12$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.582951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under46c873.3$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over46c728.26$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.265545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over48c718.48$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.614045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c694.99$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over49c667.88$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.623375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.37755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over45c559$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4811449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over47c463.79$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.713122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over48c396.43$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.476950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.29858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb3…61f9backed Under53c327.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c322.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.492,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1777829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under8c299.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+233.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over48c253.46$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Over46c196$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Under52c194.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.932450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over46c167.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.355540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c157.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0914641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over48c139.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.311060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under55c133.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.14537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over49c102.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7114963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Under42c95.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over66c90.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Under53c85.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.632937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb539…a3eabacked Over48c81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over47c74.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.952548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c73.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.552245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c70.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.226041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over64c62.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0510963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7a6…57c9backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over46c60.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.792657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+54.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over70c56.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over47c55.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.359257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…78b6backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae55…9385backed Over46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.026737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.