Europa Conference League · resolved market
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869c45c6aada22eb3173146c9c8be13675676a889956c5dad04e2daeb6b080ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,050$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,501$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.83 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 55c | 670$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.84 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 56c | 499.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 56c | 258.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 244.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 53c | 235.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 172.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 51c | 140.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 121.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 113.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 47c | 109.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 97.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 52c | 95.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 93.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 45c | 89.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 57c | 69.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 61.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 51.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 43.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Yes | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 46c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 57c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.