TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33a7…960dbacked Over34c5,833$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9803647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c3,214$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.7685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,828$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.86,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under44c2,499$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5615952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under73c1,644$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over53c1,386$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,250$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.632,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under47c999.92$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1111846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under45c975.56$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4397844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c628.57$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.832,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c615.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c425.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over50c398.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.298746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over53c374.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.244755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c335.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over56c330.91$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.615030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c254$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.312454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8177…be85backed Over30c236.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over39c231$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c224.58$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.781,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under47c212.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6719154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over50c206.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3522832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Over55c183.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.056043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.817851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over45c179.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.521838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under43c140.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3511443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.584055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over54c127$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c118.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.017250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2910244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2114551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over40c97.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3116357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.243933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under49c89.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8310036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c82.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.284,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under59c80.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.476527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Over53c74.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9515558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over66c74.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3125049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.782568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.555254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3918449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over53c56.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.879245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5716045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over53c52.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.833250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f1…0218backed Over52c51.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under52c51.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6418139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c48.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9130…6856backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.637958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under44c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5914648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9840…4530backed Under49c36.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe8…2b3cbacked Over52c35.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.155158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ec…263abacked Over52c33.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under46c32.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…b23ebacked Over53c32.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ba…ee17backed Under49c32.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a24…be88backed Under48c32.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5f…16fbbacked Over52c31.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb4…299abacked Under49c30.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.419133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…618ebacked Under48c29.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ec…4b20backed Under49c29.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9eb…841bbacked Over53c28.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under49c28.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a83…4806backed Over52c28.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.614100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+120.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over56c28.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under48c27.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9815849.4%78 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed Under49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.987162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.