Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda217c2b7b49e6968e0906bf0364caec4bdbc7b8b21ea06b75e7c6443355d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc45…a7eabacked Over | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 17c | 1,249$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 526.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 404.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 15c | 269.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 24c | 167.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 23c | 95.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 14c | 78.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 30c | 66.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5this page
- Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.