Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc514c4d7b12fc4c4d33a7d14bb8f9302288c6acfe4aa2e1f05eb0bfc955cdf02

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Over	47c	6,971$3,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,303.87	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	54c	5,986$3,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,773.07	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	70c	3,659$2,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.85	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	30c	3,332$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.6	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under	73c	3,259$2,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.26	141	66.7%94 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	3,056$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,597.97	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	31c	2,939$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.42	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Over	61c	2,027$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.65	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	55c	1,818$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.06	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under	70c	1,423$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.64	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	30c	1,250$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.88	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under	72c	1,130$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.4	135	65.2%88 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over	31c	725.81$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under	69c	725$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.75	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	49c	679.32$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.8	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	63c	447.87$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	62c	405.11$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over	30c	296.66$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	48c	227.76$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.31	210	49%103 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over	55c	227.08$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Under	39c	210.26$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.26	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	66c	190.22$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.67	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	56c	167.17$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.16	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	31c	157.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	32c	149.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under	71c	140.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.84	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over	26c	139.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over	32c	136.66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	59c	129.14$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.19	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	31c	129.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over	38c	114.15$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	68.2%88 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	45c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5dc…a4cfbacked Under	47c	99.06$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	56c	97$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.64	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over	22c	96.59$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under	70c	90.9$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.63	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over	30c	90$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb623…47a1backed Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	68c	77$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.64	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	45c	69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…da55backed Over	30c	58.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	33%63 W · 128 L	-13.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	50c	46.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under	78c	45.13$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	49c	38.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	194	55.2%107 W · 87 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	29c	34.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b9…0a0dbacked Under	55c	33.26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	50c	30.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	73c	21.79$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	212	50%106 W · 106 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…f54fbacked Under	71c	21.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0326…3e1ebacked Under	71c	20.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcb…492ebacked Under	71c	17.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Under	67c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under	64c	15.91$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.73	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Everton FC won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Everton FC won
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event