Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb035ff91044d19f6724667e3cb2a2286fabadcb6eb18b661140e23dde905a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,168,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,234,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,168,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac44…fbd7backed No | 52c | 642,014$331,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,150.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 173,487$84,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,394.54 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 97,880$53,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,458.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 87,486$52,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,169.37 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 48c | 77,815$37,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,351.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 73,750$37,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,319.35 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 69c | 68,801$47,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,472.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +476.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 56,787$28,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,110.5 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 45c | 56,619$25,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,888.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 48c | 49,387$23,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,894.91 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 50c | 46,489$23,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,378.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 22,485$11,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,019.1 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 48c | 17,001$8,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,187.73 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 12,441$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.9 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 51c | 9,529$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.95 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 53c | 7,230$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.4 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 73c | 6,783$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.8 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 49c | 6,072$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 48c | 5,904$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.82 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 46c | 5,503$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 5,460$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.81 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Yes | 47c | 4,822$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,557$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…fcdabacked Yes | 53c | 3,580$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 3,301$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.49 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,695$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.55 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…da6fbacked No | 48c | 2,667$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 2,561$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.41 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…78f4backed No | 48c | 2,344$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…8d63backed Yes | 69c | 2,203$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 5c | 2,042$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.9 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 1,895$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.01 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 70c | 1,857$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4186backed Yes | 69c | 1,739$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 1,681$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.73 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…119bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,432$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 1,429$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.61 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 50c | 1,360$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 1,319$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.32 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 69c | 1,269$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 65c | 1,267$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.46 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,258$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 1,217$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.41 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 32c | 1,188$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 68c | 1,172$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.13 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 69c | 1,157$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.04 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 45c | 1,140$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 46c | 1,101$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.78 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 76c | 1,036$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.88 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 34c | 902.28$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 45c | 882.7$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked No | 49c | 817$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 70c | 804.28$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 60c | 798$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 783.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 775.01$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.97 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 55c | 574.54$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Yes | 47c | 572.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 69c | 557.97$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…b171backed Yes | 51c | 505.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 495$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 57c | 491.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 475.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 454.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed No | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 32c | 450$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 69c | 435.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 51c | 390.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 12c | 385.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 55c | 362.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 31c | 332.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 54c | 328.59$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.