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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1733…dc80backed Yes6c7,828$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,361.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+739%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c6,753$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.7457549%282 W · 293 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c6,746$5,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,338.4971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c6,072$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.583336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No77c5,195$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.153767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85014446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No74c4,999$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.591258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes24c3,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.336349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c2,475$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.689344.5%397 W · 496 L+2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5805538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0665…4186backed Yes24c1,678$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c1,507$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.071,46441%600 W · 864 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No76c1,146$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c1,087$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c1,026$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.3211925.2%30 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x735b…acb1backed No75c1,005$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Yes25c999$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No4c900$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+199.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c833.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.333721.6%8 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes22c795$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Yes60c730.25$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No76c724.87$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No70c721.47$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.6511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No75c656$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes80c626.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.631586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x624d…91fcbacked No75c611.13$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No67c609.65$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa220…1aefbacked Yes25c605$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes21c581.34$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.07650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes7c546.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.751915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed No6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+121.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes19c418.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No75c288.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.076145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c270.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No75c250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes21c224.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.392254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Yes25c198.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.854746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.537847.9%181 W · 197 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes16c125.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+463.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes49c120.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.194161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No65c113.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2420232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c112$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.328746.7%134 W · 153 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.176142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+95.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c95.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c95.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.454520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab76…9a7fbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+203%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes21c85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.952263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c79.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2514045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c64.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.699346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf028…c587backed Yes24c64.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x548f…3516backed Yes23c63.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c31…cbafbacked Yes24c63.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a08…7e2fbacked Yes24c63.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83f…d1ebbacked Yes23c60.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+106.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0d…c09abacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba12…60bbbacked Yes25c59.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…a659backed Yes25c58.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Yes23c56.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95d…d0febacked Yes23c53.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x103d…f7eabacked Yes23c52.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes21c52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes26c50.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3711753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf63e…d3afbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ed…6cdabacked Yes24c48.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd345…3eb8backed Yes26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd03…ea96backed Yes24c46.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No76c39.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.751450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No76c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.643554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c38.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0210960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No74c35.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.299051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1614057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5843…fb53backed Yes58c34.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes60c32.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2410237.3%38 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No76c30.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No77c30.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.333860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeeef…c1a1backed No77c25.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9de…bd0abacked No77c25.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8824…a60fbacked No77c24.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.