TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd345…3eb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST3953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+41.5%+$8.31
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+101%+$12.12
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.46
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+48%+$14.39
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$15.75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+204.5%+$40.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Skele vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group Bbacked Skele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.67
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.93
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.