CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c38880dd0874015beb48bf6591340b1b9e8118e807632332b21663d28d6d1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 399.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Misa Esports | 56c | 379.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 109.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Misa Esports | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Misa Esports | 59c | 71.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…8438backed HEROIC Academy | 41c | 70.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…90c2backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Misa Esports | 57c | 65.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 34.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Misa Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…3eb8backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.