Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Lisa Pigato vs Diana Martynov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ba9182f4415fb8d791939bb2f0b31d7f3234c9ba51d87fa0bf9d94a9c90632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martynovof Pigato, Martynov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pigato | 11c | 5,999$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.15 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Martynov | 75c | 770$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pigato | 18c | 432.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Pigato | 7c | 354.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pigato | 36c | 323.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pigato | 9c | 260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pigato | 10c | 201.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pigato | 15c | 152.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Pigato | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Pigato | 74c | 127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Martynov | 67c | 112.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pigato | 43c | 97.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Martynov | 34c | 89.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Pigato | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Pigato | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Martynov | 42c | 71.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Martynov | 32c | 61.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martynov | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martynov | 67c | 59.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Martynov | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martynov | 41c | 53.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Pigato | 28c | 47.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…3eb8backed Pigato | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…f611backed Martynov | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Martynov | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…d5afbacked Martynov | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Pigato | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…659fbacked Martynov | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Martynov | 66c | 19.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Pigato | 76c | 16.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked Martynov | 69c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pigato | 72c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.