TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,001,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,051,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,001,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans18c266,178$48,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,251.5951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans21c238,095$48,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,224.0821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans19c80,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,799.9140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs61c67,444$40,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,816.3621944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs80c61,278$48,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,721.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs75c60,603$45,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,476.0722458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs26c45,279$11,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,647.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans42c31,087$12,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,171.691,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans33c30,571$10,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,453.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs44c30,380$13,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,263.7848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Spurs0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pelicans17c24,999$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,649.0414243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Spurs48c21,847$10,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,471.7539744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Pelicans23c21,399$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,398.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+54.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs68c20,308$13,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,833.982,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pelicans19c20,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,20019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pelicans19c20,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.9719048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs1c19,791$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.911,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pelicans17c19,065$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,775.5927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans58c17,826$10,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,519.291,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs59c17,027$10,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,082.471,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pelicans19c16,116$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,053.9123245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs79c15,752$12,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,443.992,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs51c15,300$7,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.381,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs64c15,100$9,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,696.9227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs60c14,990$9,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,032.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Pelicans49c14,968$7,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.4514751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…a09ebacked Spurs59c13,684$8,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,037.021957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans19c13,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.3376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Pelicans33c12,609$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,462.845541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs79c10,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9001,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans57c9,466$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Spurs38c9,377$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.9167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs38c9,093$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.0981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs79c9,000$7,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1101,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs38c8,670$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.951,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans18c8,663$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.1747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs42c8,591$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.5225925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Spurs54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9913355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Pelicans27c7,438$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,456.262733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Pelicans17c7,299$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.1613148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs51c7,066$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Spurs60c6,629$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Pelicans50c5,879$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.116758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans44c5,831$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.7248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans50c5,658$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Spurs18c5,549$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.438046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Pelicans36c5,246$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.0815250.7%77 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans17c5,050$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pelicans17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pelicans19c5,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.9614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Pelicans73c4,994$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.3424752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Spurs80c4,812$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.423565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pelicans48c4,650$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.5519388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Spurs35c4,383$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.684755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Pelicans32c4,074$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.414440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans19c4,020$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.4717241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pelicans20c4,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs10c3,830$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.872,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs34c3,795$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Spurs36c3,643$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.3738540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Pelicans18c3,600$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9953939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans25c3,539$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.4350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9b…4238backed Spurs43c3,431$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4856639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Pelicans17c3,340$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.71225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans20c3,281$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pelicans18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4901,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans37c2,986$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.913,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Pelicans18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.787536%27 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Pelicans19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.586432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Spurs15c2,540$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.29047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pelicans20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…146abacked Pelicans20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00023343.3%101 W · 132 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Pelicans46c2,472$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.741550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x921a…b16dbacked Spurs66c2,467$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.56862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans49c2,463$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Spurs1c2,410$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.598820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Pelicans19c2,400$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9447651.3%39 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs48c2,397$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs56c2,338$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.9835650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs45c2,323$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pelicans56c2,269$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ada…fb3fbacked Pelicans16c2,171$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.346639.4%26 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans18c2,088$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.0486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7321…5e5fbacked Spurs55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Pelicans48c1,905$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.172842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Spurs27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Spurs80c1,813$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.45251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Pelicans18c1,800$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47612646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Pelicans28c1,791$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.322462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Pelicans59c1,759$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5d…014bbacked Spurs35c1,746$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+62.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfed…c501backed Spurs64c1,665$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Spurs57c1,625$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.055646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pelicans18c1,600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31258740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x872a…add2backed Spurs62c1,600$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.