NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20347279d1e95825b4a4156680ce2adffee4ec693635d3a251d993880d47d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.84 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 52c | 6,642$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.04 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,477$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,137$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.33 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 1,338$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,298$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 1,293$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.61 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 1,293$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.79 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 850.85$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.43 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 822.58$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 793.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 461.32$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 4c | 427.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…793fbacked Under | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…901ebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 68c | 57.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 55.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Under | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 51.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…af31backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…2c0bbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…0e40backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…84ffbacked Over | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 42c | 32.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…8707backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…2bd0backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…25bbbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…95e7backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Under | 59c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…978abacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…50d2backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…18fabacked Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Pelicans vs. SpursPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.