NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022a494a4694f3e321b54bb614b9f28d6518affc42c2f5103268777aff340676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,309$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 3c | 1,010$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 6c | 524.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 308.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 12c | 200.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 80c | 125.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 87.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Over | 20c | 75.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 52c | 49.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Pelicans vs. SpursPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.